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By apricot

They're lying

Climategate

Climategate is going on right under our very noses and amazingly enough, not many people are aware of this. Certainly in my part of the world it's practically unheard of. Now any defenders of our planet out there - don't run off - I'm with you on this one. The protection of our planet is top of my list of priorities - but as Frasor Nelson, editor of The Specator says 'I know spin and deception when I see it and I've read the text of those emails.'

I'll mention those emails in a bit and you'll see the interview with Frasor Nelson further on.

As to convincing other people that I'm right, well in the end I'm going to appeal to their noses.

A lot of people sense something's not right in the world. Whether it be negative energy, suppression of truth, whatever - people are starting to wonder. This is not to diminish people who fervently believe in Global Warming - in a way, it's them I'm concerned about because a lot of them are genuinely out to protect the planet - and I'm with them on that. But I just don't like seeing people duped. I also wonder if this negative energy from lies and suppression of truth really will do some serious damage to the planet. I'm off into Kate Bush territory, I know and may soon be running off bare foot in my head scarf but negative energy is something that could well have an effect on us and our surroundings.

I've said this before but I'm afraid I'm going to have to repeat myself - you don't have to believe in conspiracy theories to get suspicious here. And I say again, if anyone would prefer not to believe in conspiracy theories that person is me. To know that there's such deception in the world is something that sickens me. There is one thing that comforts me though - it's the knowledge that a lot of sustainers of Global Warming are people who genuinely have the good of our planet at heart.

It's a pity we can't come together on this one.

And, the way I see it, sceptics and supporters are out for the same thing - they both search a purity of some kind - one in nature and the other in truth and many in both. This may be a crass generalisation and you may not want to be put into such a beautiful category but let me know and I can move you to a less complimentary one. I'm joking of course and I realise supporters of Global Warming will be quick to say that many sceptics aren't so pure, and I shall of course point out that (as this hub may suggest) many supporters aren't either. And then we would go round in circles all night, chucking data and charts at each other and not getting anywhere.

So to business.

Although there's no shortage of information to back up my argument I don't intend to bombard you with data which, I feel, is meaningless to most people and only helps to shroud reality. I shall of course, show you what I feel to be ample proof that Global Warming is all an invention but first allow me, if you will, to get back to my nose. Because that was what first made me smell a rat - my own innate feeling that something wasn't right. I've longed stopped listening to the mainstream press but when I did - well, I'm sure you know how it is when someone's shouting something in your face over and over again. After a while you start to wonder - why do they keep telling me this?

And in my experience it's because they're after something.

It's a silly example and probably won't reflect well on myself but here you have it. On April Fool's day when I was little I filled the bath tub with ice-cold water and ran to my dad saying he absolutely had to have a bath that morning - he was very dirty and it really wasn't good enough...how could he not have a bath before going to work?! It didn't take very long for my dad to get suspicious. And of course, if he had noticed the newspaper that day I would have tried to conceal the date from him or maybe even replaced it with an old newspaper.

Well with Global Warming I feel it's been April Fool's Day for quite a while now.

Little boys playing with the planet

So what's all this hiding of dates on newspapers? Filling up of bath tubs with cold water? Well get ready for a surprise. It's not just a few scientists who are filling up that bath tub - there are a great deal of others, some of whom the last we would ever suspect, involved in this practical joke.

So, where to begin? Perhaps at the beginning.

It all started with a hockey stick.

In 1998 a US climatologist called Dr Michael Mann drew a graph - perhaps his hand slipped as he was drawing the line because he ended up with a whopping great curve that rocketed off to the stars and ended up showing how much the planet had heated up in the last decade. It was a nice little picture he'd drawn and, oooh, it looked just like a hockey stick! It was such a nice drawing that the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) used it to show how global temperatures had shot up over recent time.

Ah, bless!

The only thing was that other scientists (probably jealous of Mann's drawing) found fault with it. It had entirely missed out the Medieval Warming Period, they said. The hottest period was no longer the era between 900 and 1300 but had somehow shifted to the late twentieth century.

Another sceptic, a Canadian mathematician Steve McIntyre tried to reproduce Mann's own artwork to check its validity but was hindered in his attempt. Mann wasn't giving him his colouring pens. Not only that, he told all his friends to stop talking to McIntyre - the Met office and the Climate Research Unit (CRU) all made it clear - Steve McIntyre wasn't copying Mann's drawing.

Faced with this wall, McIntyre might have given up there but he didn't. He fought vehemently (which is another story in itself) and eventually got hold of the infamous data used to draw up the Hockey Stick (data from Professor Keith Briffa's tree ring samples carried out in Yamal, Russia).

McIntyre carried out his own tests, using a much larger and more representative range of samples than those used by Briffa and the drawing he came up with didn't look at all like a hockey stick. http://climateaudit.org/2009/09/27/yamal-a-divergence-problem/ In fact the end of the hockey stick had been snapped off!

But this didn't mean the end for Mann and his gang - far from it. They had plenty of friends to back them up. And besides, McIntyre was just the nerd that no one liked. Their friends were fast talkers and trendy and always stuck up for them. One of the gang, Richard S. Lindzen, Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and one of the leading authors on the IPCC's Third Assessment Report on climate change spoke up.

A Harvard man - he knows what he's talking about.

Lindzen writes 'the evidence strongly implies that anthropogenic warming has been greatly exaggerated. '

Hang on...

'It turns out that there is a much more fundamental and unambiguous check of the role of feedbacks in enhancing greenhouse warming that also shows that all models are greatly exaggerating climate sensitivity. '

Uh?

Lindzen continues, 'The climate is always changing. We have had ice ages and warmer periods when alligators were found in Spitzbergen. Ice ages have occurred in a hundred thousand year cycle for the last 700 thousand years, and there have been previous periods that appear to have been warmer than the present despite CO2 levels being lower than they are now.'

What does he know? He's just a Harvard boy.

'The earth is never exactly in equilibrium. The motions of the massive oceans where heat is moved between deep layers and the surface provides variability on time scales from years to centuries. Recent work (Tsonis et al, 2007), suggests that this variability is enough to account for all climate change since the 19th Century...only about a third of the surface warming is associated with the greenhouse effect, and, quite possibly, not all of even this really small warming is due to man (Lindzen, 2007, Douglass et al, 2007). This further implies that all models predicting significant warming are greatly overestimating warming...'

Ok, just put a lid on it now, please.

Well, the newspapers weren't going to pull a trick like that on Mann's gang. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article6832885.ece

Yes! The Northeast Passage has been opened for the first time due to climate change...oops! Hang on, the Northeast Passage had never been closed! The fools! Never mind - put it aside. Quick.

And so for the Mann and his friends, life went on relatively unperturbed - jolly hockeysticks.

But then one day in November 2009 something terrible happened. Hackers broke into the CRU's email system, making public all the private messages between Mann and his friends! All their comments about the nerds and their drawings! That wasn't fair!

And the alternative press erupted! Well they would have a field day, wouldn't they?! 'Climategate' they called it! Even some of the meanie mainstream papers reported it: http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017393/climategate-the-final-nail-in-the-coffin-of-anthropogenic-global-warming/ And most recently of all, on 16th December, the Russians added their two pennies worth (http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100020126/climategate-goes-serial-now-the-russians-confirm-that-uk-climate-scientists-manipulated-data-to-exaggerate-global-warming/)

But there was still the BBC and of course they did their best to ignore it but they were being ganged up on by the nerds this time and had to spit something out...http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8370282.stm

Yes, good old BBC - that was the right way to report it!

'Experts warn that universities' email systems are vulnerable to attacks'

Too right they are! About time there was a public outrage over hackers getting access to scientists emails discussing data falsification! Down with hackers! Putting a group of honest scientists compromising emails on internet - how dare they?! Call the police - an investigation had to be called! Into the break-in, not the emails, you buffoons! Forget about them - they were just goodhearted messages between colleagues. No! Don't show them here...

'I've just completed Mike's Nature ' [the science journal] 'trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie, from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline.'

Oh, anyone knows that a 'trick' and 'hide' means they were playing cards! They had to have a few moments of relaxation!

'Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith re AR4? Keith will do likewise. '

What a fuss about nothing! AR4 was the name of the sandwich bar where they all hung out at lunchtimes!

'I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow — even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!'

'Newspapers' - he meant to say - they always like to peruse the morning papers before the IPCC report.

'The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't. '

He was talking about his coffee, for goodness sake! The machine wasn't working that day!

'I know there is pressure to present a nice tidy story as regards 'apparent unprecedented warming in a thousand years or more in the proxy data' but in reality the situation is not quite so simple. We don't have a lot of proxies that come right up to date and those that do (at least a significant number of tree proxies ) some unexpected changes in response that do not match the recent warming.'

'Nice tidy story' - he was talking about his creative writing course, of course!

'I will be emailing the journal to tell them I’m having nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor.'

Oh, just goodhearted joking!

'..extremely disappointing to see something like this appear on BBC, its particularly odd, since climate is usually Richard Black's beat at BBC (and he does a great job). Fromwhat I can tell, this guy was formerly a weather person at the Met Office. I might ask Richard Black what's up here?'

'What's up'..in the sense...Oh, why couldn't everyone just leave Mann and his gang alone?!

All because they were jealous of his hockey stick drawing! But it was a lovely drawing - and he'd been promised sweets and goodies because of it and now the horrible alternative press were threatening to take it all away. It just wasn't fair.


(Explanations of the emails are in the links to the right. You can see for yourself how the scientist involved explain away the emails - the original explanations are perhaps more comical than mine.)

Why?

So what's it all about? you'll probably be asking. Why are scientists manipulating facts, hiding data - why are we being lied to? Well, it all comes down to that same old thing.

Money.

Prof Lindzen writes: 'When an issue like global warming is around for over twenty years, numerous agendas are developed to exploit the issue. The interests of the environmental movement in acquiring more power, influence, and donations are reasonably clear. So too are the interests of bureaucrats for whom control of CO2 is a dream-come-true. After all, CO2 is a product of breathing itself. Politicians can see the possibility of taxation that will be cheerfully accepted because it is necessary for ‘saving’ the earth.'

But perhaps it's not just that. Gerald Warner of the Telegraph considers manmade global warming, ' not a science, but a religious cult. ' He also warns:

'a massive collaboration between governments anxious to extend state power, scientists with their mouths clamped to the IPCC teat and entrepreneurs eager to make billions have enabled a superstition to be imposed on the world that will wreck developed nations’ economies, impoverish developing countries and kill their populations and rape the landscape of Europe.'

So our 'protecting' the planet is not doing as much as good as it should be.

But what about melting ice in the Antarctic, you cry?

Apparently there are significant ice calvings in west Antarctica but these are considered a normal phenomenum according to Dr Ian Allison, head of the Glaciology Program of the Australian Antartic Division.

He says: 'Ice shelves in general have episodic carvings and there can be large icebergs breaking off - I’m talking 100km or 200km long - every 10 or 20 or 50 years.' More importantly, in east Antartica (which is four times the size of west Antartica) parts of it are actually cooling. Dr Allison goes on to say that 'sea ice losses in west Antarctica over the past 30 years have been more than offset by increases in the Ross Sea region, just one sector of east Antarctica.'

This, of course, is somehow overlooked by the mainstream media.

http://www.skepticsglobalwarming.com/?p=15352

So what about the polar bears?

Ah yes. Have a look at this tear-jerker.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article767459.ece

'SCIENTISTS have for the first time found evidence that polar bears are drowning because climate change is melting the Arctic ice shelf.'

Polar bears are drowning? The polar bear or Ursus Maritimus (bear of the sea) is not a good swimmer?

'They are very strong swimmers...some have been seen swimming hundreds of miles from land' (http://animals.nationalgeographic.com/animals/mammals/polar-bear.html).

Looks like the Times got it wrong again. Prof Lindzen writes: 'Polar bears, arctic summer sea ice, regional droughts and floods, coral bleaching, hurricanes, alpine glaciers, malaria, etc. etc. all depend not on some global average of surface temperature anomaly, but on a huge number of regional variables including temperature, humidity, cloud cover, precipitation, and direction and magnitude of wind.'

There's also the fact that polar bear numbers are increasing in some places. http://www.nnsl.com/northern-news-services/stories/papers/sep17_07bear.html

What to make of it all then? What to believe? Haven't we been ordered to be forever terrified - our planet is overheating after all.

Prof Lindzen speaks at length about global warming alarmism: 'statements are made which do not make sense. But they run. None of this would matter much except that all sorts of proposals that are expensive and dangerous are being promoted to deal with this alleged problem.' For more from Lindzen I strongly recommend you watch his talk on the link below if you have the time. He tells us more about alarmism, but the only alarming thing is what, in his view, is behind it.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/04/video-of-lindzens-recent-presentation/

But onwards. More questions! How do you explain away those scorching summers?

In response to this Lindzen points out: 'Some of the hottest years on record have occurred during the past decade - given that we are in a relatively warm period, this is not surprising, but it says nothing about trends.'

He goes on to say:

'More recently, we have had the medieval warm period and the little ice age. During the latter, alpine glaciers advanced to the chagrin of overrun villages. Since the beginning of the 19th Century these glaciers have been retreating. Frankly, we don’t fully understand either the advance or the retreat.'

He admits he doesn't know the answer. (But shouldn't he have just made it up?!)

And CO2 emission?

Again, I direct you to Prof Lindzen, who does seem to have the, albeit infuriating habit, of telling things as they are. According to Lindzen, 'only about a third of the surface warming is associated with the greenhouse effect, and, quite possibly, not all of even this really small warming is due to man (Lindzen, 2007, Douglass et al, 2007). This further implies that all models predicting significant warming are greatly overestimating warming. This should not be surprising, (though inevitably in climate science, when data conflicts with models, a small coterie of scientists can be counted upon to modify the data).'

Oh dear. Those scientists again. Perhaps I should mention that Lindzen resigned from the IPCC after noticing his research being altered without his permission.

But of course, this article is written by just another sceptic, well deniar, shouting 'conspiracy!'.

But as I say, for me, it would be easier to know there wasn't such deception in the world. And I have very little to gain from knowing Global Warming is faked (although I'm happy for the planet). I've certainly no reason to avoid protecting our Mother Earth but I'll do that regardless. As for CO2 emission - well, even if it doesn't have an effect on the planet, as Lindzen indicates, it changes little for me - I don't own a car and I'm not planning on getting one. Although, I admit, a dramatic reduction in cars and pollution would be something I would welcome a great deal.

But I just can't hide from the truth - I'm going back to my nose and I ask you to do the same. Dust off your gut instinct and put it into action. Something's not right here even if you don't believe the sceptics - how come the mainstream media hasn't erupted with Climategate? Ironically their very reticence is actually backing up the sceptics' argument.

There has been some coverage of course (although as I say, not where I am) - have a look, if you have the time, at the coverage on Sky News underneath.

The presenter anxiously points out, 'we must stress that there is an investigation going on so we don't know whether or not it's confirmed whether this data was manipulated.'

Funny, ethics had never seemed to interest them before.

But if you're desperate that the Global Warming myth does carry on I think you can rest assured that the majority of people will listen to the mainstream press. My own dad, I'm sure, will go for their version.

But he never did fall for my April Fool's day joke. You see, in the end, I was never very good at telling fibs.

I doubt I'll ever work for the mainstream media.

Nor at the Climate Research Unit for that matter.

The end....is nigh?

Now I suppose it's customary to finish off an article such as this with a plea or admonishment of some kind along the lines of 'think of the polar bears, think of the children,'etc.

Well, I will make a plea but it's to think of the developing countries whose economies are being crippled by the 'problem' of Global Warming. Think of their children, yes. But, just so no one gets upset (and as you might know, animals are my great passion) I'll think of the polar bears too - on their sheets of ice (that are supposed to be breaking off anyway) and swimming very adroitly off to the shore. And I will think of the children and I ask you to as well.

Because do you want the future generation growing up in a world based on lies?


Thanks for reading.


Comments

dohn121 profile image

dohn121 Level 3 Commenter 2 years ago

Although my findings are nowhere nearly as extensive as yours, I found that the Earth's temperature has actually been going down in the last 50 years, and steadily at that. We may well be heading into our next Ice Age...('Cool,' my nephew said to me when I explained this to him.)

Great hub, apricot. No, the sky isn't falling, there's no Santa Claus, and Elvis is dead! Wake up, people!

Green Lotus profile image

Green Lotus Level 6 Commenter 2 years ago

Wow you've done a lot of research Apricot and I admire your efforts, but I am in two minds here. I'm sure, if you were challenged (or perhaps bribed) into doing a Hub on why we are facing Global Warming, you'd find just as much information and would put out an equally convincing Hub.

I'll just leave it by saying that I agree with you when you say, positive thinking is better than doomsday thinking. Whether we choose to believe in Global Warming or not, I think it's still important to become proactive;- helping to reduce man-made pollution on earth and thinking positively that it can be accomplished.

William R. Wilson profile image

William R. Wilson 2 years ago

I've taken a while to respond to this because I wanted to think about it. I think we're just going to have to agree to disagree. :)

Most of what I would say here has already been said in the forums or in my hubs. I'll continue to write about climate change, I hope you'll check my hubs in the future, and I'll do the same with your hubs.

I do appreciate your respectful and rational debate. That's a real rarity in the climate debate!

Amanda Severn profile image

Amanda Severn Level 3 Commenter 2 years ago

Hi Apricot, this is certainly thorough. As I've said elsewhere on Hubpages, I'm on the fence on this one. I do think that the global climate change that we're seeing is (mostly) due to a natural cycle, but at the same time I think that the over-exploitation of the Earth's natural resources, in particular oil, coal and timber, is causing other forms of devastation. The Arctic ice is apparently melting, as are the glaciers, and the net result of this will be further flooding and coastal erosion. We do have a problem that needs addressing, but people are so busy worrying about who said what in their private e-mails, that they can't find time to actually sit down and come up with a plan. I don't care too much about what caused the planet's problems because that's history now. What I want to know is what happens next.

William R. Wilson profile image

William R. Wilson 2 years ago

Here's an excellent look at the "hide the decline" email:

http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Bright-Green/

barryrutherford profile image

barryrutherford Level 5 Commenter 2 years ago

Apricot

Ive read you hub & have examined your Q & A session on the emails. I have also read many other explanations for the emails which seem more plausible...

barryrutherford profile image

barryrutherford Level 5 Commenter 2 years ago

Really we should be thanking the Scientist's for doing the research and drawing our attention to the fact that we are destroying the earth. As well we should be thanking them for devising safer technologies for the future...

apricot profile image

apricot Hub Author 2 years ago

Thanks for your comments everyone!!

Hi barryrutherford - thanks for reading! It's a tricky one, I know. From listening to Prof Lindzen I'm just not convinced these technologies are safer or doing any good to the planet. For me, it just boils down to money for them - and they're doing their utmost to protect their livelyhoods. The thing is, I feel (and I even got this impression from reading the emails) that some of them do have a conscience and would like to do good - from the emails, I got the impression they were blocked by the powers above. I don't reckon that even they know who those powers are. But, as I say, I smell a cover up here!

William R Wilson - thanks for the link! I'll have a look at it in the next few days! (at the moment, I don't think I could read another line on anything regarding Climategate!)

apricot profile image

apricot Hub Author 2 years ago

Hi Amanda Severn! Yes, what happens next is an interesting question! Actually, I think perhaps a great deal of it is in the people's hands. Thanks for reading!

Green Lotus - ha ha! Actually I used to work for a petrol company so I could be accused of trying to help them out (although, it's the last thing I'd want to do). I did wonder myself if I'd be able to write a convincing article arguing the opposite but I just don't think I could. What I see as the truth just shines out at me and tends to write itself. Of course, there are 'truths' within the Global Warming campaigners because, as I say, a lot of them fervently believe in what they're doing.

Yes, positive thinking has a lot to do with it - I reckon that's what it'll need more than anything if the planet is in danger. I agree with GW supporters that there is a threat to the planet but I just believe it's a different source!

We'll go on being green though!

apricot profile image

apricot Hub Author 2 years ago

Hi Dohn! So it's true about Santa then? Thank goodness for that! It's definitely 'cool' (bless him!) that the planet is cooling - it's certainly getting freezing here! Despite this, I did see a mosquito in my flat yesterday but I don't believe it's Global Warming - I just think the mosquitos are secretly developing their own super race! (the cunning things!)

goldenpath profile image

goldenpath 2 years ago

Very well organized! You've made a great case. I don't believe in this global warming scare and I truly feel it is a preconceived fabrication on certain cloaked groups that have very clear agendas. Thanks for the information!

Paradise7 profile image

Paradise7 Level 7 Commenter 2 years ago

You did a terrific job on this hub, and I liked the tone of it--a little sarcastic but not off-the-wall smokin' hot sarcasm that would offend anyone. Well researched, the quotes held up, and I wondered too, if the media wasn't creating another media scare in order to line someone's pockets. The picture is much bigger than just humankind.

Thanks for an intelligent, well-informed and well-researched article.

apricot profile image

apricot Hub Author 2 years ago

Nice to meet you goldenpath! Thanks for your comments!

Paradise7 - thanks for nipping in and appreciate your encouragement!

Green Lotus - I forgot to mention before - reducing manmade pollution - I'm definitely with you on that one!

ethel smith profile image

ethel smith Level 3 Commenter 2 years ago

Still not sure but then again at my age I am starting to think why worry unless it is certain there is something to worry about.

breakfastpop profile image

breakfastpop Level 8 Commenter 2 years ago

Terrific hub and it certainly provides food for thought. I wrote about this very thing today and my contention is that before we tax everyone to death and destroy our economy even further we need to investigate further and carve out the truth. Well done.

apricot profile image

apricot Hub Author 2 years ago

Hi Ethel smith! Yes, I can quite understand your reasoning!!

breakfastpop - thanks so much for passing by! Yes, they should certainly investigate a lot further - the trouble is by all accounts the ones supposed to be investigating are the also ones behind the Global Warming scam! Who knows what will happen!

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